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Strategy: 110.883b Market Cap, PT of BTC Premium to 30%
Honeywell: 140.769b Market Cap, PT of $260.15


Portfolio Update: March 2025
The following is my portfolio as of 3/18/2025: And the following is my outperformance against the S&P 500: Since my last writing the...
Christian Evans
Mar 182 min read
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Portfolio Update: February 2025
I'm going to begin writing up my thoughts on the portfolio in the main blog each month. I feel that putting it on a separate page has no...
Christian Evans
Feb 193 min read
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Otter Tail 4Q24 and Full Year Write-Up: Thesis Confirming
Full Year Revenue: (1.4%) y/y EPS: 2.4% y/y Plastics Earnings: 6.9% y/y Quarterly Revenue: (3.6%) y/y EPS: (5.2%) y/y Guidance EPS: $5.68...
Christian Evans
Feb 182 min read
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Denny's 4Q24 and Full Year Write-Up: Problematic, Thesis Intact
4Q24 Results: Revenue: (0.61%) y/y Denny's SSS: 1.1% Keke's SSS: 3.0% Net Store Openings: (26) Stores Full Year Results: Revenue: (2.50%)...
Christian Evans
Feb 133 min read
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Blue Bird 1Q25 Write-Up: Mostly Thesis Confirming
Revenue: (1.2%) y/y Gross Margin: 19.2% EV Bus Shipments: 132, 32 above my forecast. Updated Model: BLBD US Blue Bird Corporation.xlsx It...
Christian Evans
Feb 112 min read
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Niterra 3Q24 Write-Up: Thesis Confirming
Consolidated Revenue: 4.4% y/y EBIT Margin (0.73%) y/y Automotive Revenue: 3.6% y/y Ceramics Revenue: 11.6% y/y Niterra printed third...
Christian Evans
Feb 101 min read
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Initiating Coverage on Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD US: Model)
Date of Initiation: 1/30/2025 Price Target: $50.76 Conviction: 7/10 Holding Period: 2 Year Hold Model: BLBD US Blue Bird Corporation.xlsx...
Christian Evans
Feb 64 min read
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Initiating Coverage on Denny's Corporation (DENN US: Model)
Date of Initiation: 1/13/2025 Price Target: $8.08 Conviction: 6/10 Holding Period: 2 Years Model: DENN US Denny's Corporation.xlsx...
Christian Evans
Feb 44 min read
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Initiating Coverage on Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR US: Model)
Date of Initiation: November 19, 2024 Price Target: $88.81 Conviction: 4/10 Holding Period: 3 Year Hold Model: Otter Tail...
Christian Evans
Jan 254 min read
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Initiating Coverage on Niterra Co. (5334 JP: No Model)
Date of Initiation: September 30, 2024 Price Target: ¥6280.80 Conviction: 9/10 Holding Period: 2 Years Model: EV Adoption Model.xlsx...
Christian Evans
Dec 16, 20244 min read
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