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Journal
Monthly Portfolio Updates and Individual Company Analysis


Portfolio Update: October 2025
I think it's more helpful to show active positions only, so the following is my portfolio as of market close 11/7/2025: I've realized I'm not measuring performance correctly, and so I'm going to rebuild the portfolio over the course of the coming month. It's quite manual and sluggish. My calculation of alpha is not honest enough and there's essentially no rebalancing going on ever. I might even transition to tracking performance in a paper trading portfolio and use excel to t
Christian Evans
3 days ago3 min read
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Update on Denny's
Denny's is being acquired for $6.25 a share by Yadav Enterprises and Treville Capital. This officially puts a bow on my experience owning and following Denny's. The cost basis for my position was $5.99 a share, so this buyout would've netted me about a 3.3% gain assuming I held through the summer and sold today. While it would've been nice to get back to breakeven, I don't think selling over the summer was a bad choice. The real lesson learned is to sell earlier. Two of the b
Christian Evans
6 days ago1 min read
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Morningstar 3Q25 Thoughts
The following is the message I sent to Silver Fund with my thoughts and analysis of Morningsta r's third quarter: Morningstar reported their 3Q earnings after close today. I think it's best characterized as "more of the same", with solid fundamental performance being overshadowed by the AI conversation and commentary on their end markets being discouraging. Revenue was up 8.4% vs. our estimate of 6.8% and street of 6.2% driven mostly by the Credit businesses' 27% organic grow
Christian Evans
Oct 293 min read
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Honeywell: 3Q25 and Sell Notice
Honeywell reported third quarter earnings before market open today. They posted really strong organic growth in the Aerospace Tech unit and I think that's the primary reason for the ~7.50% gain today. In my 3 quarters owning Honeywell, it seems like that's all that people really care about. Aerospace was great in 1Q, mediocre in 2Q, and great in 3Q and this has corresponded with the performance of the stock. Sell-side seems to be asking a lot about the margin profile as well,
Christian Evans
Oct 231 min read
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Research Materials: Morningstar Long
The following are copies of materials for my research on Morningstar: See the memo for my full thesis. It's redundant in my eyes to parrot the memo when I've already done that work. I think this is how I want to share work moving forward given the time it created to initiate in the past. It's more important to get the documentation right than getting the journal entries to look beautiful in my eyes.
Christian Evans
Oct 161 min read
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Portfolio Update: September 2025
This is more of a mid-October update but still wanted to get a product out. The following is my portfolio as of market close 10/16/2025: And the following is my performance against the S&P 500: And the following is my exposure by sector and geography as of market close 10/16/2025: I'll start by saying I gave up quite a bit of performance in the last month. It's been hard to keep up with the market for the entire time I've been investing truthfully. None of my names have repor
Christian Evans
Oct 162 min read
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Annual Report 2024/25
To start the annual report I want to define more precisely what I want the purpose of this blog to be. This blog will best serve me as an online investing journal and a tool to document my learning. It is not meant to be a place that forces me to publish research at each quarter. I find this has added stress to my life and made the portfolio less rewarding. Henceforth, this will serve as a place to get my thoughts down as an investor. With that being said, let's look at perfo
Christian Evans
Sep 132 min read
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Postmortem: Blue Bird Corporation
Entry Price: $36.1 Exit Price: $50.4 Return: 40.43% Alpha Contribution: 2.78pp Hold Period: 186 Days I'm really proud of the work I did...
Christian Evans
Sep 72 min read
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Postmortem: Denny's
Entry Price: $5.99 Exit Price: $3.70 Return: -38.2% Alpha Contribution: -3.64pp Hold Period: 197 Days Denny's has been far and away the...
Christian Evans
Aug 273 min read
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Strategy 2Q25: Thesis Confirming
BTC Holdings: 628,946 BTC Yield: 25.0% BTC mNAV: $75,278 Premium to NAV: 50.07% Strategy "reported earnings" two weeks ago and little has...
Christian Evans
Aug 122 min read
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Honeywell 2Q25: Thesis Intact
Sales Growth: 8% y/y Organic Growth: 5% y/y GAAP EPS: $2.45, 4% y/y Honeywell reported a fine 2Q, with 8% topline growth and 4% EPS...
Christian Evans
Aug 112 min read
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Portfolio Update: July 2025
The following is my portfolio at 8/9/2025: And the following is my performance against the S&P 500: And the following is my exposure by...
Christian Evans
Aug 103 min read
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Discontinuing Coverage: Niterra Corporation
The position is still held. Similar to Deckers, I will stop publishing my research on Niterra because of my work at Grandeur Peak. I have...
Christian Evans
Aug 51 min read
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Discontinuing Coverage: Deckers Outdoor Corporation
Position is still held. Because of my involvement at Grandeur Peak I can no longer publish my research on Deckers. I still believe...
Christian Evans
Jul 301 min read
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Discontinuing Coverage: Otter Tail Corporation
Held For: ~3 Months Position Return: 3.35% Alpha Contribution: 9 bps I pitched this in Brigham Capital during my first semester and do...
Christian Evans
Jul 301 min read
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Portfolio Update: June 2025
The following is my portfolio at 7/1/2025: And the following is my performance against the S&P 500: And the following was my exposure by...
Christian Evans
Jul 12 min read
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Portfolio Update: May 2025
The following is my portfolio as of 5/30/2025: And the following is my performance against the S&P 500: Not a good month for the...
Christian Evans
May 302 min read
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Blue Bird 2Q25: Thesis Intact
Revenue: 3.7% y/y Unit Volume: 2295 Buses, 265 EVs Gross Margin: 19.7% Diluted EPS: $0.79 I'm surprised by the reaction to this earnings...
Christian Evans
May 111 min read
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Niterra 4Q25: Thesis Confirming
4Q25 Revenue: 5.5% y/y EBIT: 25.3% y/y EPS: 92.1 FY 2025 Revenue: 6.3% y/y EBIT: 13.4% y/y EPS: 466.34 Another great quarter for Niterra...
Christian Evans
May 61 min read
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Denny's 1Q25: Thesis Intact, Wait and See
Revenue: 1.5% y/y Denny's SSS: (3%) y/y Keke's SSS: 3.9% y/y EPS: $0.01 Store Count: (8) Denny's and (3) Keke's I was listening to Stan...
Christian Evans
May 52 min read
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